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[MKT] FX market strategy for 24 Feb

[MKT] The USD lost more steam on Thursday, but we would see it as more range-trading before its next move higher.
2/23/2017 5:51:41 PM

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[USD] US Preview: Univ. of Mich. Consumer Sentiment

[USD] The University of Michigan final estimate of consumer sentiment for February will be released Friday, 24 February at 10:00EST (15:00GMT). The preliminary February estimate of consumer sentiment decreased to 95.7, versus the final 98.5 reading seen in January. The near-term prospects for consumer sentiment remain a virtual wild card though improved conditions seen in recent weeks should provide some support for confidence. Accordingly, anticipating maintained support in the final release, we expect the headline measure will hold steady around 96.0.
2/23/2017 4:56:37 PM

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[USD] US Preview: New Home Sales

[USD] The December Commerce Department new home sales report on Friday, 24 February at 10:00EST (15:00GMT). New home sales were weak for much of 2015 and are expected to remain constrained in 2016, continuing to face supply dislocation (related to foreclosure activity) and generally subdued conditions. Alongside the broader decline seen in the series, further downward pressure (on a monthly basis) will likely be seen in the months to come. However, anticipating some upward pressure in January, we expect new home sales will increase modestly to around 550k.
2/23/2017 4:55:20 PM

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[USD] US Preview: Jobless Claims

[USD] The weekly jobless claims report will be published on Thursday, 23 February at 08:30EST (13:30GMT). We expect initial claims for the week ending 18 February will increase to 245k (up from 239k). On balance, despite gradual further improvement in employment conditions we anticipate continuing jobless claims should remain elevated for some time but should continue along a downward path in the months to come.
2/23/2017 1:10:39 PM

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IDEAglobal clients have been asking if we could make some revisions to the FX service on Thomson Reuters (IDEAFX). In response we have added a number of benefits for you:
  • Streamlined product structure for ease of use.
  • Reordered technical pages to allow users to more quickly review our technical calls on major FX pairs.
  • Daily CNH analysis (IDEAFX70) in light of the surge in FX volume seen in the offshore market over recent quarters.

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IDEAglobal TV, Videos & Media

ECB QE will it work — Reuters Insider
European yields to rise — CNBC
Euro and the ECB Afermath — Reuters Insider
Correction continues in Europe — Reuters Insider
S&P500 set for 1810 — CNBC
US equity correction risk Q1 2015 — CNBC
ECB easing hopes overdiscounted — Reuters Insider
Top for GBP
US equity risks later in 2014 — CNBC
Easy ECB — Reuters Insider
USD Bullishness
Pound tightening tantrum later in 2014 — Bloomberg TV
USD medium-term bulls — Reuters Insider
EUR/JPY to 136
How to Play GBP
More ECB easing — Reuters Insider
Expect USD strength in 2014 — Bloomberg TV
IDEAglobal 2014 Currency Preview
The Yen's Correction
USDJPY to Y110 — Reuters Insider
USDJPY best FX trade — Bloomberg
US 10yr yields to hit 3% — CNBC
Equities into 2014 — CNBC
Tapering isn't tightening, OK? — Reuters Insider
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Europe is not fixed — CNBC
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