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[USD] U.S. Bond Strategy for February 22

[USD] Treasuries found downward pressure across the curve following the release of minute from the 30-31 January FOMC meeting. Although these minutes stopped short of explicitly calling for more rate hikes, underlying support for continuing along the Fed's current path was enough to weigh on Treasuries (with a majority of participants noting that a stronger outlook for economic growth raised the likelihood that further gradual policy firming would be appropriate).
2/21/2018 8:52:16 PM

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[USD] Recap: FOMC Minutes Highlights

[USD] For full FOMC minutes summary, see below.
2/21/2018 7:22:34 PM

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[USD] US Preview: Leading Indicators

[USD] The January Conference Board leading economic indicators report will be released Thursday, 22 February at 10:00EST (15:00GMT). We expect a +0.5% increase to be registered in the composite measure for January, following the +0.6% m/m reading seen in December.
2/21/2018 6:01:06 PM

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[GBP] MPC members don their hawkish mantle

[GBP] Remarks coming from the UK BoE MPC members' testimonies to the Parliamentary TSC on the Feb Inflation report are skewed to the hawkish side and should be viewed as positive for Cable. BoE Gov Carney says the trade-off between growth and inflation has dwindled, adding that the time frame in which to bring inflation back to target has moved in from 3 years, although it hasn't moved in to 2 years, in the MPC's collective view. Dep Gov Broadbent says further increases in the Bank Rate to above 0.50% are likely to be required, albeit gradually and to a limited extent. He also points out that wage growth is picking up, and adds that the squeeze on households' real take home pay is past its worst. Chief Economist Haldane says since Nov the UK economy is somewhat stronger and infers that the economy only need grow at around last year's growth rate for further rate increases to be justified. Fellow MPC member Tenreyro says the tightening of interest rates is likely to be stronger than was anticipated in Nov. - Reuters. - IDEA: We remain with the view that the next change in interest rates will likely occur in May. Cable should try to revisit 1.4000 soon.
2/21/2018 4:40:19 PM

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IDEAglobal clients have been asking if we could make some revisions to the FX service on Thomson Reuters (IDEAFX). In response we have added a number of benefits for you:
  • Streamlined product structure for ease of use.
  • Reordered technical pages to allow users to more quickly review our technical calls on major FX pairs.
  • Daily CNH analysis (IDEAFX70) in light of the surge in FX volume seen in the offshore market over recent quarters.

Download the IDEAFX product guide here.

IDEAglobal TV, Videos & Media

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European yields to rise — CNBC
Euro and the ECB Afermath — Reuters Insider
Correction continues in Europe — Reuters Insider
S&P500 set for 1810 — CNBC
US equity correction risk Q1 2015 — CNBC
ECB easing hopes overdiscounted — Reuters Insider
Top for GBP
US equity risks later in 2014 — CNBC
Easy ECB — Reuters Insider
USD Bullishness
Pound tightening tantrum later in 2014 — Bloomberg TV
USD medium-term bulls — Reuters Insider
EUR/JPY to 136
How to Play GBP
More ECB easing — Reuters Insider
Expect USD strength in 2014 — Bloomberg TV
IDEAglobal 2014 Currency Preview
The Yen's Correction
USDJPY to Y110 — Reuters Insider
USDJPY best FX trade — Bloomberg
US 10yr yields to hit 3% — CNBC
Equities into 2014 — CNBC
Tapering isn't tightening, OK? — Reuters Insider
ECB Easing
Risk rally in November — Reuters Insider
Europe is not fixed — CNBC
1.40 EUR/USD
What forward guidance works best — CNBC


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